By Michael Grammenos, PSO Research Analyst
Nov 09, 2019

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 10, powered by Trnds Sports. Check out the previous Money Trends that are now 21-9 (70%) on the year.

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Game: ATL @ NO (currently at NO -13.5) 

TREND: NO after Bye at home

  • SU: 6-0-0 (100%) last 11 seasons
  • ATS: 6-0-0 (100%) last 11 seasons
 

BONUS TREND: NO after Bye

  • SU: 8-2-0 (80%) last 11 seasons
  • ATS: 8-1-1 (89%) last 11 seasons
 

Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara are healthy and New Orleans is in a great position going forward. Atlanta has been a dumpster fire all year and especially on the road. While the offense plays a bit better on the road, the defense allows a staggering 139.8 QBR on average. New Orleans is coming off a bye week and as the trend shows, Sean Payton excels in these situations. With the disappointment of Atlanta thus far, it’s tough to see them coming into New Orleans and have much of a chance. Even without Brees, New Orleans didn’t lose a beat, and now with him back, a road to being NFC champions is en route. 

Game: SEA@SF (currently at SF -6)

TREND: SEA as road underdogs
  • SU: 6-4-0 (60%) last 10 games
  • ATS: 7-2-0 (78%) last 10 games

BONUS TREND: SEA as underdogs

  • SU: 16-13-1 (55%) in the Russell Wilson era
  • ATS: 21-7-2 (75%) in the Russell Wilson era
 
Seattle is rarely an underdog in the Russell Wilson-Pete Carroll era, and according to the trends this seems to be a good spot for Seattle. While winning over half of those games outright, Seattle has been covering at a solid 75% rate when in this position. San Francisco has solidified themselves as the best team in the NFL so far this season as the only undefeated team still standing, but Seattle is not close behind. With newly acquired Josh Gordon making his debut, that gives Russell Wilson another weapon to add to his arsenal. 
 
On the other side of the ball, George Kittle is battling a knee injury and is currently listed as doubtful. Look for this game to be a grit and grind defensive battle and a one score possession throughout. Seattle is getting undervalued at +6 with the way Wilson is playing, so don’t be afraid of the money line as well (+220).

 

Game: MIN@DAL (currently at DAL -3)

TREND: DAL at home after a win

  • SU: 11-2-0 (85%) last 13 games
  • ATS: 10-3-0 (77%) last 13 games
 

BONUS TREND: MIN as road dogs

  • SU: 2-9-0 (18%) last 11 games
  • ATS: 3-8-0 (27%) last 11 games
 

Kirk Cousins had been going on a tear this year, and then came back to reality and looked normal last week against Kansas City with his #1 weapon Adam Thielen out (hamstring). This week, the Minnesota Vikings go into Dallas against a defense that is 17th in DVOA, but has potential to play a lot better than that ranking. With the defensive line completely healthy/not suspended, and with newly acquired DE Michael Bennett, Dallas is sure to provide pressure on Cousins and try to neutralize Dalvin Cook. Byron Jones is healthy and with Adam Thielen expected to miss another game, the defense can turn its attention to stopping Stefon Diggs. With the combination of Dallas being able to get to Cousins and Dak Prescott playing considerably better at home, Dallas is in prime position to come away with a win and cover on SNF.

Game: KC@TEN (currently at KC -6)

TREND: KC as road favorites

  • SU: 16-4-0 (80%) last 20 games
  • ATS: 14-6-0 (70%) last 20 games
 

This game really comes down to one simple fact: Kansas City needs to get on a run and it needs to start now. Kansas City has a team makeup that is capable of winning a Super Bowl right now and Andy Reid knows it. Getting former MVP QB Patrick Mahomes back in the lineup is a huge plus for them against a Tennessee defense currently ranked in the middle in both passing and rushing defense (17th and 18th). Tennessee’s passing offense hasn’t had any life and they’ve fully relied on the run game to get them anywhere.

Kansas City’s biggest weakness is when their corners are attacked by an elite QB, and the Titans simply won’t have that advantage. Expect Mahomes to tear up this Titans defense and for Kansas City to stack the box and make it tough for Tennessee to keep up. This spread started at -4 and has since gone to -6 due to Mahomes’ being ready to go. Mahomes is worth more than 2 points, even if it’s only 3 points. That extra point makes a huge difference here with a favorite-friendly number of 6.

Game: ARI@TB (currently at O/U 51.5)

TREND: TB Overs Last 6 games

  • OU: 6-0-0 last 6 games
 

Bruce Arians is going against his former team this weekend when Arizona comes to Tamba Bay to take on a tough passing attack lead by Jameis Winston. Now, there’s one of two things that will happen in this game: 1) Winston comes out on fire and has a stellar performance agains the worst ranked passing defense in the league and the over hits no problem or 2) Winston has multiple turnovers en route to a sloppy game overall and the over seems out of reach. Arizona is getting their star offensive weapon back in David Johnson and rookie Kyler Murray has played the part this year in a revamped Arizona offense lead by Kliff Kingsbury. 

 

Arians will surely look to dominate his old team while there are plenty of people still in that Arizona locker room that would love to beat their former coach. Banking on Winston to score and not mess up is a tough proposition, but expect Bruce Arians and Co. to have a game plan to expose this already underwhelming Arizona defense. 

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