By Michael Grammenos, PSO Research Analyst
Oct 25, 2019

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 8, powered by Trnds Sports. Check out the previous Money Trends that are now 13-7. 

For more of the top money trends every week, download the TRNDS app on the App Store.

Game: GB @ KC (currently at GB -4.5)

 

TREND: KC at home this year

  • SU: 1-2-0 (33%) at home this year
  • ATS: 0-3-0 (0%) at home this year
 

Week 5 said a lot about both of these teams moving forward: Green Bay came off a loss at home in Week 4 to then beat Dallas at their house, while Kansas City suffered their first loss of the season against Indianapolis. Since then, Green Bay has found something on offense leading to three straight wins. On the other hand, Kansas City has only one win to show against a sub par Denver Broncos team. On top of that, it’s looking like it’ll be Aaron Rodgers vs Matt Moore in this one, unless Patrick Mahomes comes back after getting in some practice reps this week.  

The difference between Mahomes and Moore is astronomical, even with a quarterback guru like Andy Reid running the offense. Matt Moore is expected to be serviceable, especially with Reid doing what he can to eliminate turnovers and extend drives. However, Aaron Rodgers is going against a defense allowing the 8th most yards per game (377) and is expected to be far beyond serviceable. 

Game: SEA@ATL (currently at SEA -6.5)

TREND: SEA after a loss
  • SU: 29-7-0 (81%) in the Russell Wilson era (last 8 years)
  • ATS: 23-10-3 (70%) in the Russell Wilson era (last 8 years)
 

Russell Wilson took until Week 7 to finally throw an interception, while he’s also tied for the most passing touchdowns (15) and is 2nd in passer rating (114.1). Matt Ryan also has 15 touchdowns, but doesn’t even rank in the top 10 in passer rating (98.7) while throwing many more interceptions (8). Seattle is a team with playoff aspirations and a veteran head coach, while Atlanta is 1-6 with their head coach on the hot seat. All the momentum and trends point towards Seattle going into Atlanta and handling their business while covering the spread of just under a touchdown.  

Game: CLE@NE (currently at NE -12)

TREND: NE as double digit favorites

  • ATS: 18-6-0 (75%) last 5 years
 

Earlier this week, Cleveland Browns wide receiver Jarvis Landry made a bold statement by guaranteeing a win, and then questionably tried to retract his statement. Bulletin board material is now there for the #1 ranked defense in the league allowing an insane 35.6 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks this season. With Baker Mayfield leading the league in interceptions (11) and still not having his offensive line issue resolved, New England’s defense will look to feast.

Stephon Gilmore, arguably the best cornerback in the league, will look to follow Odell Beckham, and Jarvis Landry already has a target on his back. New England’s front 7 has been dominant thus far (74.7 rushing YPG allowed), making for a tough challenge for Nick Chubb. The mismatches all around and the extra bulletin board material for New England makes this a tough spot for Cleveland to be in, regardless of them coming off a bye week.

Game: ARI@NO (currently at NO -10)

TREND: NO in October

  • ATS: 19-2-1 (90%) last 6 years
 

There’s an argument out there that October is the most important month during the football season. The rust is knocked off, teams are getting figured out and at the same time other teams are starting to gain major steam. Sean Payton knows the importance of October and always makes sure to have his team ready to build momentum and take a leap in the conference going into the final stretch of the season before playoffs hit. 

New Orleans took this attitude into Chicago last week and looked more than comfortable scoring against a well-respected defense. Arizona is currently giving up the 5th most PPG (27.4) and is going against arguably the most creative offense they’ve faced all year. Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable for the game and David Johnson will be out, with both of them having backups that can come in and produce, as witnessed just last week. Kyler Murray will get tested in the Superdome and will have to come up with a big game to keep up with the NFC’s elite.

Game: CIN@LAR (currently at LAR -13)

TREND: LAR as double digit favorites

  • SU: 6-1-0 (85%) last 3 years
  • ATS: 5-2-0 (71%) last 3 years
 

Los Angeles made a blockbuster move to acquire Jalen Ramsey and it has already started to pay off in a stand out performance against Atlanta. Cincinnati hasn’t found their identity on either side of the ball, and currently ranks dead last in the league in rushing YPG (53.1). Aaron Donald and Co. will look to dominate a weak offensive line that’s allowed the 4th most sacks this year (24). Cincinnati has zero wins on the season for many reasons (weak in the trenches, most yards given up, average quarterback play) and Sean McVay has the tools to take advantage of his former assistant Zac Taylor and put this game out of reach. With a favorite friendly number to take in -13, a back door cover seems less likely than if it was two touchdowns.  

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