By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Sep 19, 2019

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 3, powered by Trnds Sports.  

TREND: TEN in division road games 
  • SU: 5-19-0 (21%) last 9 years
  • ATS: 4-19-1 (17%) last 9 years
 

The Titans have been on the losing side against the spread and in the record books the last nine years against division opponents. While this game might be an exception with the uncertainty surrounding Jalen Ramsey and Jacksonville’s backup QB, the trends show Tennessee is likely to lose division road games. 

TREND: KC at home over the last 5 games 
  • SU: 4-1-0 (80%) last 5 games  
  • ATS: 1-4-0 (20%) last 5 games
 

In the Game of the Week, an 80-20 split on SU vs ATS can turn into a valuable play with high upside. Kansas City SU (-250) has potential to be used in a safe parlay on the side of Patrick Mahomes knowing how to do the most important thing at a very high level: winning. Baltimore ATS (+6.5) can be a high level play in a 6.5 point teaser (+13) with a combination of a stout defense and an early MVP candidate in Lamar Jackson. One should expect Baltimore to cover 13.5 points at anybody’s house. 

TREND: BAL on the road over the last 3 years

  • SU: 9-8-0 (53%) last 3 years
  • ATS: 11-5-1 (69%) last 3 years
 

Over the last three years, Baltimore has clearly outperformed expectations on the road, and will look to do that once again in Kansas City where Vegas has the line at +6.5. Lamar Jackson has performed extremely well in his sophomore season thus far and will look to win a shootout in Arrowhead.  

TREND: Minnesota at home last 5 years

  • SU: 24-9-0 (73%) last 5 years
  • ATS: 23-8-2 (74%) last 5 years
 

Minnesota is practically a double digit favorite (-9.5) against a Raiders team going on their first road game of the year. Covering by a wide margin against Atlanta in their first home game makes this trend seem hopeful. One stat to watch is Minnesota’s rushing offense (185 YPG) vs Oakland’s rushing defense (63 YPG).

TREND: Teams at home coming off 2 losses in Sep

  • SU: 11-7-0 (61%) last 4 years 
  • ATS: 14-4-0 (78%) last 4 years
  • Teams at home coming off 2 losses in Wk 3: JAX, WAS
 

Only two different 0-2 teams are playing at home this week, and if history repeats itself, those teams are more likely to beat the spread than in other situations. A Bears defense known for causing havoc in the trenches vs. a Redskins offensive line without its top guy in Trent Williams is a matchup to watch.

TREND: NE as double digit favorites (regular and postseason)
 
  • SU: 20-2-0 (91%) last 5 years
  • ATS: 17-5-0 (77%) last 5 years 
 

New England has looked just about perfect in their first two games of the year, and with the acquisition of Antonio Brown already fitting in, the sky is the limit. Expect New England to be double digit favorites in a lot of games this year, especially at home. However, with a line at home against the Jets of -22.5, considering this just a double-digit favorite is an understatement.  

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