Game: LAR@MIA (currently at MIA +3.5)
TREND: MIA in look ahead games
- ATS: 7-0-0 (100%) since 2017 Week 13
Going into this season, Miami was a +5 underdog this week against Los Angeles. It currently sits at +3.5 with one of the biggest questions entering Week 8, Tua Tagovailoa as the biggest storyline of the game. The fifth overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft makes his first start of his career at home after a bye week. Getting two weeks to prepare for this game puts Tua in a great position to succeed in his first career NFL start. Miami has looked decent at the very least this year on both sides of the ball.
Los Angeles is sitting at a solid 5-2, but then take a closer look at those five wins. Four of them are against the entire NFC Least and the other against a fraudulent Chicago Bears team at home on primetime. A cross country road trip on a short week is never an ideal situation for a team, and that fits Los Angeles to a T this upcoming week. At the end of the day though, Miami will go as far as Tua goes. This game is risky, but a lot of signs point to the Dolphins pulling off the upset in South Beach.
Play: MIA +3.5