By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Nov 01, 2020

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 8, powered by Trnds Sports. Check out the previous Money Trends that went 32-16 (67%) on the year.

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Game: DAL@PHI (currently at PHI -7)

TREND: DAL in the 2020 season

  • ATS: 0-7-0 (0%) in 2020
 

The Dallas Cowboys have been nothing short of a dumpster fire to start the 2020 season out. Even when their star QB Dak Prescott was throwing for 500 yards and 4 TDs, Dallas still found a way to lose. Now it’s former JMU starting QB Ben DiNucci making his first start after Dalton took a massive blow last week and remains in concussion protocol. Having a 7th round rookie QB starting behind a questionable offensive line is never a good sign, and going up against the team with the third most sacks in the league (24.0) won’t help in a game that’s likely won in the trenches.

Philadelphia’s offense has gotten the injury bug, but it hasn’t been for the worst. Travis Fulgham emerged as a number one receiver for Wentz because of it and the combo of Boston Scott and Richard Rodgers proved more than serviceable versus a Giants defense that can’t be worse than Dallas. Rookie first round pick Jalen Reagor returns to action for the first time since Week 2, giving Wentz another weapon to expose one of the worst defenses in the league this year (27th in YPG).

Pick: PHI -7

Game: PIT@BAL (currently at BAL -3.5)

TREND: BAL vs. AFC 

  • ATS: 10-1-0 (90.9%) since 2019 Week 9
 

Baltimore is coming off a bye this week in a game they’ve had marked on their calendar from the beginning of the year with their division rivals coming into their home stadium. Having an extra week to prepare for this game means wonders for the Ravens, with their head coach John Harbough sporting a 9-4 ATS record coming off of a bye. Even though Pittsburgh is undefeated, they’ve only played two teams with a winning record, one of them being the Browns who they demolish on an annual basis, and the other being the Titans who missed a last-minute field goal to lose the game. 

Mike Tomlin will have his team ready, but Baltimore is still the better overall, and more explosive team. Ben Roethlisberger hasn’t played a secondary nearly as stout as Baltimore’s and with the loss of Devin Bush, Lamar Jackson should have some special plays to add to the highlight reel this week as the Ravens will look to build a lead early, that’s been the key to their success, and have had a two-week period now to call the right plays at the beginning of the game to get that crucial early lead.

Pick: BAL -3.5

Game: TEN@CIN (currently at OU 53.5)

TREND: TEN Overs After Home Game

  • OU: 9-0-0 (100%) since 2019 Week 8
 

Tennessee finally got into the loss column this year after a hard-fought battle against a tough Pittsburgh Steelers defense. The first half was shaky, but adjustments were made and it came down to the Titans simply not having a reliable kicker. While Tennessee’s kicking issues might cause pessimism for the over to hit, one simple statistic alleviates that burden: Tennessee is currently hitting at an astounding 80% red zone touchdown rate this season. When the Titans get the ball into scoring position, six points is the only option for Mike Vrabel’s squad. 

Joe Burrow has looked the part of a No. 1 pick thus far, and don’t expect a slump anytime soon. The offense has the weapons around him and the guy is just a natural football player. Getting the ball down the field hasn’t been the problem this year, and it’s a big reason why Cincinnati has kept these games close just about every week this year. Tennessee is looking for a bounce-back win after a tough loss and Joe Burrow is g0ing to continue to be Joe Burrow.

Pick: Over 53.5

Game: LV@CLE (currently at OU 52.5)

TREND: Las Vegas Overs in 2020 NFL Season

  • OU: 5-0-1 (91.7%) since 2020 Week 1
 

To put it nicely, the Las Vegas Raiders defense has been butter this year. Ranking near the bottom of the league (26th) in YPG and even worse in passing YPG (28th) doesn’t bode well against any team. Baker Mayfield just had the best game of his career and looked a lot more comfortable once his star weapon Odell Beckham wen’t down with a knee injury. There are still plenty of weapons in Cleveland and players typically step up when their number is called.

Jarvis Landry was once a solid No. 1 WR and with a consistent run game still present even after the Nick Chubb injury, Cleveland shouldn’t have a problem moving the ball down the field. Jhn Gruden will have his team ready to go after a brutal loss last week, entering a crucial Week 8 matchup with playoff implications on the line. The line is tight at -3.5 and both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league defensively, which makes it likely that a lot of points will be scored in this matchup. 

Pick: Over 52.5

Game: LAR@MIA (currently at MIA +3.5)

TREND: MIA in look ahead games

  • ATS: 7-0-0 (100%) since 2017 Week 13
 

Going into this season, Miami was a +5 underdog this week against Los Angeles. It currently sits at +3.5 with one of the biggest questions entering Week 8, Tua Tagovailoa as the biggest storyline of the game. The fifth overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft makes his first start of his career at home after a bye week. Getting two weeks to prepare for this game puts Tua in a great position to succeed in his first career NFL start. Miami has looked decent at the very least this year on both sides of the ball. 

Los Angeles is sitting at a solid 5-2, but then take a closer look at those five wins. Four of them are against the entire NFC Least and the other against a fraudulent Chicago Bears team at home on primetime. A cross country road trip on a short week is never an ideal situation for a team, and that fits Los Angeles to a T this upcoming week. At the end of the day though, Miami will go as far as Tua goes. This game is risky, but a lot of signs point to the Dolphins pulling off the upset in South Beach. 

Play: MIA +3.5

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