By Rob Mason, PSO President of Sports Operations
Oct 17, 2021

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful and profit from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make and watch the money pile up thanks to educated decisions. 

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Here are some interesting money trends that showcase some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 6.  

Game: Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (currently at GB -6)

TREND: Packers last 5 ATS in 2021 & last 5 ATS vs. Chicago

  • ATS: 4-1 (80%) over the last 5 weeks
  • ATS: 4-1 (80%) over the last 5 games vs. Chicago
 

Ever since a surprising blowout loss in Week 1, Green Bay has beat the spread every week. Aaron Rodgers is back on his MVP game and there is no team that fears him more than Chicago, who he’s also known for beating spreads against. 

Pick: GB -6 (-110)

Game: Kansas City Chiefs @ Washington Football Team (currently at O/U 54)

TRENDS: OVERS all around

  • OVER: 5-1 (83%) in WAS games over the last 6 weeks
  • OVER: 4-1 (80%) in KC games over the last 5 weeks
  • OVER: 4-1 (80%) in KC vs. WAS games in their last 5 matchups
 

All the trends point toward this game exceeding the 54 total points set by BET US. While that’s what the stats say, there is also plenty of logic favoring the over as well. The Chiefs are struggling in 2021 but don’t tell that to Patrick MahomesTyreek HillTravis Kelce, and the offense that’s averaging over 30 PPG. However, their defense is horrific, which should give Taylor Heinicke and WFT a fighting chance. Add injuries to Chiefs DL Chris Jones and CB Charvarius Ward, and over 54 seems like the move here. 

Pick: OVER 54 (-110)

Game: Los Angeles Rams @ New York Giants (currently at LAR -8)

TREND: Giants ATS in their last 9 games

  • ATS: 3-6 (33%) over the last 9 weeks
 

Joe Judge’s squad got decimated in a game they felt they needed to win to stay in the NFC East division race. Obviously, injuries played a major factor and they’ll likely influence their Week 6 outcome again as Saquon Barkley is out, Daniel Jones suffered a concussion a week ago, and the WR room is very banged up. Sean McVay, Matthew Stafford, and Cooper Kupp could have a field day as they look to exceed the eight points Vegas is giving them. 

Pick: LAR -8 (-110)

Game: Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers (currently at PIT -5)

TREND: Seahawks ATS in their last 7 games

  • ATS: 2-5 (29%) over the last 7 weeks
 

Vegas tends to overvalue the Seattle Seahawks as seen by their 2-5 ATS record over their last seven games. And that was with Russell Wilson starting at QB, but with him and backfield mate Chris Carson both on IR and a secondary in disarray, Pittsburgh is obviously the favorites on Sunday Night but is only getting five points. The house still might be setting expectations too high for a Seahawks squad that’s 2-3 and relying on unproven players to generate offense.

Pick: PIT -5 (-110)

Game: Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans (currently at BUF -5.5)

TREND: Bills ATS in their last 16 games

  • ATS: 13-3 (81%) over the last 16 weeks
 

There is no better team to bet on than the Buffalo Bills right now. This was very close to being the trend of the week because of how profitable they are but there is a slight chance they’re on a high horse after taking down the Chiefs in KC and don’t perform to expectations in Tennessee. However, Josh Allen is the real deal and if the Bills are the Super Bowl favorites everybody thinks they are now, they’ll take care of business in Nashville with at least a touchdown lead at the end. 

Pick: BUF -6 (-105)



 

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