By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Sep 26, 2020

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 3, powered by Trnds Sports. Check out the previous Money Trends that went 32-16 (67%) on the year.

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Game: GB@NO (currently at OU 52.5)

TREND: NO <7 Point Favorite
  • OU: 8-0-0 (100%) since 2018 Week 16
 

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers sit at 2-0 and own one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. Rodgers is looking like an MVP and the stellar play of Aaron Jones has elevated this team to a new level. Remember the last two times Green Bay started the year with back-to-back 40 bombs? Oh yeah, 2011 and 2014 when Rodgers went on to win MVP’s. Drafting a QB in the first round has sparked a flame under Rodgers and he has the team around him to put up numbers each and every week.

New Orleans on the other hand is in an interesting spot. Letting up 28 PPG to start out the year is not ideal, but matching that with 29 PPG makes it seem a bit better. Drew Brees hasn’t exactly looked like himself, but overall the offense is still getting the job done. Last week can be considered an anomaly with it being the first game in Vegas and Michael Thomas being out. Thomas is expected to remain out for Sunday night, but giving a veteran QB like Brees a week to adjust without his star player can do wonders for an offense. New Orleans is back at home during primetime where Sean Payton fairs well….expect fireworks.

Game: KC@BAL (currently at BAL -3.5)

TREND: BAL vs AFC

  • ATS: 9-0-0 (100%) since 2019 Week 9.
 

BONUS TREND: BAL ATS

  • ATS: 11-1-0 (91.7%) since 2019 Week 7.
 

This is the matchup that everybody has been waiting for. Two young MVP’s with star-studded weapons around them, an experienced coaching battle and the two teams in the AFC who are expected to meet in January for a trip to Super Bowl LV. Everybody thought that Kansas City’s offense was already explosive, but then adding the dynamic Clyde Edwards-Helaire to the backfield has added an extra element. Combining Clyde with Pat at the helm, Hill, Watkins, and Hardman running around everybody and Kelce making every play possible, this offense seems unstoppable. Baltimore isn’t just any regular football team though.

Not only is Baltimore’s offense performing at an even better rate than Kansas City (35.5 PPG vs 28.5 PPG), but their defense is also playing at an elite level. Sporting the #3 offense and #1 defense in terms of scoring, Baltimore is primed to defeat anybody in their path right now. Lamar Jackson has clearly developed as a passer, forcing defenses to account for a variety of possibilities. Kansas City’s defense isn’t as strong this year and it was exposed last week by a rookie who found out he was playing only seconds before kickoff. Lamar and Co. is expected to tear the defense up at home and show the whole league who the true top dog is in 2020.

Game: HOU@PIT (currently at OU 45)

TREND: PIT vs Opponents <.500

  • OU: 1-12-0 since 2018 Week 11
 

BONUS TREND: HOU vs AFC, After Loss

  • OU: 0-6-0 since 2018 Week 17.
 

Pittsburgh has started out just as expected. One win against a subpar team and another against a solid team who lost their QB early in the contest. The Steelers have a tendency to play to the level of their competition, making sense of the first two games and reason for this one. Preparing for a playmaker such as Deshaun Watson will have this defense ready and focused. The Steel Curtain is leading the NFL in total pressures generated with 77, and Houston happens to lead the league so far in pressures allowed with 57.

On the other side of the ball, Houston has been dealt a rough hand early on. Having to face the undisputed top two teams in the AFC, maybe even NFL, to start a season is no easy task. Letting up 67 points in those games is truly embarrassing and some form of pride should be expected to show here. Bill O Brien’s defense has an easier task this week vs. the less mobile and older Ben Roethlisberger and will look to build a defensive foundation going forward.

Game: CHI@ATL (currently at ATL -3.5)

TREND: CHI After Home Game

  • ATS: 0-8-0 (0%) since 2019 Week 1
 

The Atlanta Falcons pulled another Atlanta Falcons last week and let Dallas come back down 16 in the final five minutes. A huge let down for a team that played well and a coach who’s on one of the hottest seats in the NFL. The defense has looked terrible, giving up 78 points through the first two contests. The 0-2 squad heads into this week facing a must-win game for not only their season, but their coach’s tenure as well. 

Chicago isn’t Seattle or Dallas however. While they might sit at 2-0 to start the year, both of those wins have been against the bottom bunch of the league. A Detroit Lions team who literally saw the win slip from their hands, and a New York Giants group who lost their star running back mid-game. Neither of Chicago’s wins have been very impressive and Mitch Trubisky’s consistency issues continue to exist. Look for Atlanta to show up for their coach and find a way to keep their season alive against a lower-tier undefeated team in the Bears.  

Game: LV@NE (currently at NE -6)

TREND: LV Away, After Home Win

  • ATS: 0-10-0 (0%) since 2016 Week 4
 

Las Vegas kicked off their new stadium with a win over a really good New Orleans Saints team. In on overall impressive performance, a couple of factors stood out. Derek Carr is reliant on Josh Jacobs to keep the ball moving down field and Darren Waller in the redzone. Both of those guys are questionable and their young stud wide receiver Henry Ruggs is officially out. Keying in on one or two guys in an offense is what New England Patriots HC Bill Belichick excels at, and this one shouldn’t be much different. Cam is running that offense with ease and went drive-for-drive with Russell Wilson last week. It’s hard to envision Cam and that offense having a problem with Derek Carr, especially playing in Foxborough.

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