Game: HOU @ JAX (currently at HOU -2)
TREND: HOU when favored by 3 pts or less
- SU: 12-3-0 (80%) last 15 games
- ATS: 9-5-1 (64%) last 15 games
BONUS TREND: Favorites in London
- SU: 18-4-0 (82%) last 11 years
- ATS: 16-6-0 (73%) last 11 years
Houston being in this situation seems like a steal, especially given the fact they’re expected to be getting two of their starters in the secondary back in Johnathan Joseph and Tashaun Gipson. Deshaun Watson is having an MVP caliber season and making special plays week in and week out. Jacksonville has been a surprise on offense this year with Leonard Fournette and D.J. Chark are having breakout seasons and Gardner Minshew has come in for Nick Foles and played very solid (11th in QBR of at least 200 attempts).
Jacksonville is middle of the pack in both passing and rushing defense, giving a great opportunity for Watson to add to his MVP resume. Jacksonville does have the edge in location, playing every season in London since the NFL introduced it. However, this isn’t the same dominant Jacksonville defense that the AFC South has grown accustomed to in years past. The Watson-Hopkins connection is going overseas for its first time and shouldn’t look much less different than what we see in the States, except this time Hopkins could unleash a monster performance without Jalen Ramsey lining up across from him now.