By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Nov 02, 2019

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 9, powered by Trnds Sports. Check out the previous Money Trends that are now 18-7, and a clean 5-0 in Week 8. 

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Game: CHI @ PHI (currently at PHI -4.5) 

TREND: PHI at home after a win

  • SU: 13-5-0 (72%) last 5 seasons
  • ATS: 12-6-0 (67%) last 5 seasons
 

Chicago has a team that is eerily similar to the Buffalo team that Philadelphia just dominated last week. A top-notch defense with an inconsistent quarterback that isn’t a true threat (29th in passing yards). No disrespect to Buffalo, as they rank in the top ten in rushing, while Chicago ranks a low 26th. An offensive identity has not been found yet in the Windy City, and they come to Lincoln Financial playing against a defense getting some guys back from injury and a guy named Desean Jackson if you haven’t heard of him.

Taking it from a matchup aspect, Philadelphia wins in every offensive category and Chicago wins in every defensive category with an argument to be made at Defensive Line. Desean coming back is huge for Carson Wentz and the home crowd should be able to rattle Trubisky into some costly turnovers. Quarterbacks playing in Philly have seen a dip in QBR this year and there doesn’t look to be a worse QB coming into Philly.

Game: TB@SEA (currently at SEA -5)

TREND: SEA at home after not covering
  • SU: 16-4-0 (80%) last 20 games
  • ATS: 13-6-1 (68%) last 20 games
 

Speaking of MVP seasons, Russell Wilson is having one of them himself. He’s leading the league in passer rating while leading his team to a 6-2 record and in control of a playoff spot. Tampa Bay has the 2nd worst pass defense this year and a turnover-prone quarterback playing in front of the “12th Man” this week. Seattle has averaged 7.5 more points than their opponents at home during the Pete Carroll regime, trailing only New England and Green Bay. Seattle’s defense also is ranked third in points allowed per game in the Carroll era, trailing only the well respected Patriots and Ravens. James Winston is bound to turn the ball over and Russell Wilson will surely use that to his advantage.

Game: TEN@CAR (currently at CAR -3.5)

TREND: CAR at home after two consecutive road games

  • SU: 11-4-0 (73%) last 15 games
  • ATS: 12-3-0 (80%) last 15 games
 

The biggest difference in this game will be Derrick Henry vs Christian McCaffrey, and ultimately should decide the outcome of this game. McCaffrey has been the much better back this year and will face a tough test this week against the 12th ranked rush defense. Neither QB is likely to perform well against a tough defensive matchup. Carolina being at home is a major advantage for the inexperienced Kyle Allen, and that home crowd should give the extra edge to Carolina’s 5th ranked pass defense and their ability to force Ryan Tannehill into bad decisions. While the Titans offence has looked better under Tannehill, they also played the 2nd worst pass defense in Tampa Bay. Look for Carolina to take control of this game early and let CMC lead them to victory. 

Game: HOU @ JAX (currently at HOU -2)

TREND: HOU when favored by 3 pts or less

  • SU: 12-3-0 (80%) last 15 games
  • ATS: 9-5-1 (64%) last 15 games
 

BONUS TREND: Favorites in London

  • SU: 18-4-0 (82%) last 11 years
  • ATS: 16-6-0 (73%) last 11 years
 

Houston being in this situation seems like a steal, especially given the fact they’re expected to be getting two of their starters in the secondary back in Johnathan Joseph and Tashaun Gipson. Deshaun Watson is having an MVP caliber season and making special plays week in and week out. Jacksonville has been a surprise on offense this year with Leonard Fournette and D.J. Chark are having breakout seasons and Gardner Minshew has come in for Nick Foles and played very solid (11th in QBR of at least 200 attempts).

Jacksonville is middle of the pack in both passing and rushing defense, giving a great opportunity for Watson to add to his MVP resume. Jacksonville does have the edge in location, playing every season in London since the NFL introduced it. However, this isn’t the same dominant Jacksonville defense that the AFC South has grown accustomed to in years past. The Watson-Hopkins connection is going overseas for its first time and shouldn’t look much less different than what we see in the States, except this time Hopkins could unleash a monster performance without Jalen Ramsey lining up across from him now.

Game: GB@LAC (currently at GB -3.5)

TREND: LAC at home dogs

  • SU: 3-9-0 (25%) last 3 years
  • ATS: 3-9-1 (25%) last 3 years
 

The big trend to notice in this week’s trends is showing support to the MVP candidates, and that won’t look to stop here. Aaron Rodgers is getting hot at the right time and currently leads in MVP voting on some accredited websites. Given that Rodgers didn’t have a preseason to get accustomed to the new LeFlaur offense, it makes sense why he is heating up midway into the season. Sitting at 2nd in yards (2324), 2nd in touchdowns (16) and top 5 in passer rating (106.7), many around the game view this as just the start of a memorable season in the works for the 12th-year starter. Considering Rodgers’ recent surge has been without his top weapon Davante Adams makes it even scarier for a depleted Los Angeles secondary that could give up a lot of points in a stadium mostly packed with Packers fans.  

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