By Michael Grammenos, PSO Asst. Research Analyst
Oct 03, 2019

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 5, powered by Trnds Sports

For more of the top money trends every week, download the TRNDS app on the App Store.

Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (SEA -1.5)
  • SU: 8-1-0 (89%) last 11 years
  • ATS: 7-0-2 (100%) last 11 years
TREND: SEA (at home) vs LAR
  • SU: 7-3-0 (70%) last 11 years
  • ATS: 7-3-0 (70%) last 11 years

The Rams go on the road after a disappointing loss at home against Tampa Bay where the defense got absolutely shredded. Another performance as such will not fare well against a dynamic Seahawks offense. Pete Carroll is known for getting his team ready in a short week to perform on Thursday night. Jared Goff’s Home vs Road splits last year resulted in a 34-point difference in QBR (116.7 home vs 82.7 road) and playing a fierce division opponent doesn’t make it much easier.  

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints (NO -3.5)
TREND: NO after two wins 
  • SU: 15-7-0 (68%) last 4 years
  • ATS: 15-7-0 (68%) last 4 years

TREND: NO after covering last two 

  • SU: 15-5-0 (75%) last 4 years
  • ATS: 16-4-0 (80%) last 4 years

New Orleans has looked more than okay without its HOF signal caller Drew Brees. First going into Seattle and making enough big plays to win one of the harder games on the schedule, to then come home and humble one of the best offenses thus far in the Dallas Cowboys. Tampa Bay’s offense was cruising last week, but their defense was sub par and Winston still ended up making a mistake in the fourth quarter that could’ve blown the game. Teddy Bridgewater is playing serviceable to say the least (67 Comp%, 87 QBR) and Alvin Kamara is making a statement for the best weapon in the league this year.

New York Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -13.5)

TREND: NYJ after the Bye

  • SU: 2-8-0 (20%) last 11 years
  • ATS: 3-7-0 (30%) last 11 years

The New York Jets historically haven’t been good after the bye, and they aren’t in a great situation to change this trend. The Jets are most likely going to be without their starting QB Sam Darnold and a defensive anchor LB C.J. Mosley for another week. Luke Falk will get the start against an Eagles defense that just defeated Aaron Rodgers. Coming off of a victory at Lambeau field is a huge momentum builder for Philadelphia now sitting at 2-2 and going against a weakened Jets team. The Eagles biggest weakness lies in the secondary, but with a below average, unproven QB in Luke Falk expected to start, that weakness shouldn’t get exposed. No C.J. Mosley means more looks for Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert and an easier path for Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders to run through.

Atlanta Falcons @ Houston Texans (HOU -5)

TREND: ATL after two losses

  • SU: 9-16-0 (36%) last 7 years
  • ATS: 9-16-0 (36%) last 7 years

Matt Ryan vs Deshaun Watson. Julio Jones vs Deandre Hopkins. Most importantly, Dan Quinn vs Bill O’Brien. The Falcons have looked out of whack all year and have been playing from behind in most of it, inflating their offensive stats late in non-competitive games to make them seem like a true threat. In reality, the offensive line is a major weakness and the offensive play-calling lacks creativity, specifically in the red zone. Houston got shut down last week at home, but has all of the tools to perform at a high level with future superstar Deshaun Watson leading the charge.

New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins (NE -15.5)

TREND: NE after not covering last two

  • SU: 16-3-0 (84%) last 11 years 
  • ATS: 14-5-0 (74%) last 11 years

Give all of the credit to the Buffalo Bills for their performance at home last week against the Patriots. A well-fought battle the whole game even when Buffalo’s starting QB went out, the Bills had multiple chances to steal the game. With New England heading to Washington this week, a different outcome should be expected and it is portrayed in the huge line (-15.5) from Vegas. Tom Brady and Co. are going from playing the 2nd best defense in yards to the 28th-ranked defense. It would be foolish to think the offense is going to struggle in back-to-back weeks going against a defense that has been underwhelming to say the least. On top of that, the Redskins don’t even know who their starting QB is going to be on Sunday according to Head Coach Jay Gruden.

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