By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Dec 12, 2020

This is a brand new format for the weekly money trends to showcase a trend in each game with relevance to how the actual outcome of the game could unfold as well as the best trend of the week. Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 14.  

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UPDATED FINAL RESULTS FROM WEEK 14: Trend of the Week won by 9 points; Week 14 record: 8-6-1 (57.1%)

Game: PIT@BUF (ML currently at BUF -125)

TREND: BUF money line in its last 6 games

  • SU: 5-1 (83%) since 2020 Week 7
 

Buffalo has been playing great football as of late, led by rising star Josh Allen. After a hot 4-0 start, Buffalo came back down to earth and lost two straight. Since then, a 5-1 record has proven that the Bills need to be taken seriously. Pittsburgh is injured heavily on defense and that has been Mike Tomlin’s team bread and butter this whole season. Ben Roethlisberger will be forced to make plays down the field to keep up with a high scoring Buffalo offense. Pittsburgh was undefeated less than a week ago but could now take their second straight loss because nobody circles the wagon like the Buffalo Bills. 

Pick: BUF ML -125

FINAL RESULT: BUF ML won by 9 points (W 26-15)

Game: HOU@CHI (currently at O/U 46)

TREND: Unders when playing in the Windy City 

  • O/U: 4-13 (30%) in last 17 games in Chicago
 

Chicago is known for being a tough place to play in December and with Mitchell Trubisky at the helm, Chicago will have a tough time scoring themselves.

Pick: Under 46

FINAL RESULT: Under 46 won by 3 points (36-7)

Game: TEN@JAC (currently at O/U 52.5)

TREND: Overs when TEN plays on the road 

  • O/U: 5-1 (83%) last 6 road games
 

Vegas consistently undervalues the Titans when they play away from Nashville. Coming into Jacksonville, they could exceed expectations again with a chip on their shoulder after a big loss to Cleveland last week.

Pick: Over 52.5

FINAL RESULT: Over 52.5 lost by 11.5 points (31-10)

Game: DEN@CAR (currently at CAR -3)

TREND: CAR in its last 10 games

  • ATS: 7-3 (70%) since 2020 Week 2
 

Teddy Bridgewater and the Carolina Panthers are a cover machine.

Pick: CAR -3

FINAL RESULT: CAR -3 lost by 8 points (L 32-27)

Game: MIN@TB (currently at TB -7)

TREND: TB at home against MIN

  • ATS: 6-1 (86%) in their last 7 games at home against the Vikings
 

Minnesota stays disappointing when they go from their northern home all the way down south to Tampa Bay… and that was before they got Tom Brady.

Pick: TB -7

FINAL RESULT: TB -7 won by 5 points (W 26-14)

Game: ARI@NYG (currently at ARI -3)

TREND: NYG on a hot streak 

  • ATS: 5-1 (83%) in their last 6 games
 

Daniel Jones is back and the New York Football Giants are playing about as well as anybody.

Pick: NYG +3

FINAL RESULT: NYG +3 lost by 16 points (L 26-7)

Game: KC@MIA (currently at KC -7)

TREND: KC when facing an AFC opponent

  • ATS: 13-4 (76%) in their last 17 games against AFC
 

Though Miami’s defense has played well this season, they have yet to play Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid, and the Chiefs who consistently dominate when they face their conference.

Pick: KC -7

FINAL RESULT: KC -7 lost by 1 point (W 33-27)

Game: DAL@CIN (currently at DAL -3)

TREND: DAL in their last 5 games vs. CIN 

  • SU: 4-1 (80%) in their last 5 games against CIN
 

Cincinnati doesn’t have a good history facing Dallas and this is Andy Dalton’s one and only chance to play in Cincinnati as a member of a team other than the Bengals.  

Pick: DAL -3

FINAL RESULT: DAL -3 won by 20 points (W 30-7)

Game: NYJ@SEA (currently at O/U 47)

TREND: Both team unders recently

  • O/U: 1-4 (20%) in Seattle’s last 5 games
  • O/U: 1-5 (17%) in New York’s last 6 away games
 

These teams are struggling to score points recently and considering Seattle needs a defensive lockdown game to get them on track, there’s no better team to do it to against than the Jets.

Pick: Under 47

FINAL RESULT: Under 47 won by 4 points (30-3)

Game: IND@LV (currently at IND -3)

TREND: IND hot on the road in 2020 

  • ATS: 4-1 (80%) last 5 games on the road
 

Indianapolis is staring to gel with Philip Rivers at QB and continue to be undervalued when on the road while the Raiders have been shaky all season.

Pick: IND -3

FINAL RESULT: IND -3 won by 14 points (W 44-27)

Game: GB@DET (currently at O/U 55)

TREND: DET overs in their last 5 home games

  • OU: 5-0 (100%) in Detroit’s last 5 games at home
 

A good ole Rodgers vs. Stafford divisional matchup with no more Matt Patricia, let the fireworks begin.

Pick: Over 55

FINAL RESULT: Over 55 pushed (31-24)

Game: WAS@SF (currently at O/U 43.5)

TREND: Historically low scoring matchup

  • O/U: 2-6 (25%) in Washington’s last 8 games on the road against San Francisco
 

When these two teams play, it’s usually a defensive battle. Washington’s defense has proved their worth thus far this year and San Francisco relies on the run making for a low scoring affair highly possible.

Pick: Under 43.5

FINAL RESULT: Under 43.5 won by 5.5 points (23-15)

Game: ATL@TM (currently at O/U 49.5)

TREND: LAC scoring in bunches with Herbert

  • O/U: 7-2 (78%) in their last 9 games
 

Justin Herbert continues to look the part for OROY and Matt Ryan consistently puts up points with his stout offensive weapons. Considering the Chargers stay hitting on overs, this matchup looks like more of the same.

Pick: Over 49.5

FINAL RESULT: Over 49.5 lost by 12.5 points (20-17)

Game: NO@PHI (currently at O/U 42.5)

TREND: PHI unders at home 

  • O/U: 2-11 (15%) in their last 13 games at home
 

Rookie Jalen Hurts and mobile phenom Tayson Hill take on two of the top ten defenses in the league, making for a run heavy day for both sides. Philly O/U’s are usually higher than the final score when they play at home which could be the case once again this week.

Pick: Under 42.5

FINAL RESULT: Under 42.5 lost by 2.5 points (24-21)

Game: BAL@CLE (currently at BAL -2.5)

TREND: BAL in their last 6 games vs. CLE

  • ATS: 5-1 (83%) in their last 6 games in Cleveland
 

Cleveland has impressed this season, especially last week. But it doesn’t change the fact that they consistently underperform when they face the ‘big, bad’ Ravens. 

Pick: BAL -2.5

FINAL RESULT: BAL -2.5 won by 2.5 points (W 47-42)

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