By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Oct 02, 2021

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful and profit from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make and watch the money pile up thanks to educated decisions. 

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Here are some interesting money trends that showcase some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 4.  

Game: Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers (currently at SEA +130)

TREND: SEA last 15 games vs. SF

  • ML: 13-2 (87%) over the last 15 games
 
“I love adversity.” Russell Wilson‘s Seahawks are currently sitting at 1-2, and a loss here against a division rival would put them in an early hole in the best division in football. This game on Sunday is their first real test of adversity this season, and Wilson is known for showing up when it matters most. Throwing for seven touchdowns and no interceptions with a quarterback rating of 133.6, Wilson could easily torch a middle of the pack passing defense en route to a Seattle victory on Sunday.

Pick: SEA ML (+130)

Game: Cleveland Browns @ Minnesota Vikings (currently at CLE -2)

TREND: CLE on the road 

  • ATS: 5-1 (83%) over the last 6 games on the road
 

Minnesota is currently the fifth worst defense in YPG and Kevin Stefanski will take full advantage of that. Myles Garrett is competing for DPOY and with the return of OBJ, that Browns offense is going to continue to thrive. This is one of the rare cases where MIN will have the disadvantage in the rushing department. Cleveland only laying two points is sketchy, but the fact that Minnesota’s defense is so bad makes it seem like Baker and Co. will move the ball with ease. The over could also be in play

Pick: CLE -2 (-115)

Game: New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints (currently at NO -7)

TREND: NO beats spreads & NYG doesn’t

  • NO ATS: 10-3-1 (77%) over the last 14 weeks
  • NYG ATS: 2-5 (29%) over the last 7 weeks

 

New York will be without WRs Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard on Sunday, having Daniel Jones rely on Kenny Golladay and Saquon Barkley to lead the way. New Orleans has the best recipe to counter that with PFF’s #1 ranked CB Marshon Lattimore and the No.3 Run D in the league. With the Superdome being open for business for the first time this year, Jones and that offense will likely struggle to move the ball effectively. New Orleans is going to be rocking per usual.

Pick: NO -7 (-115)

Game: Carolina Panthers @ Dallas Cowboys (currently at DAL -4.5)

TREND: DAL ATS last 7 weeks 

  • ATS: 6-1 (86%) over the last 7 weeks
 

Two of Carolina’s three wins have been against the Jets and Texans, and the third against a Saints team without an abundance of coaches  due to COVID. It’s tough to completely believe in them just yet, especially after C-Mac‘s injury. Dallas is hot right now and that offense is looking lethal as Zeke got back on track and Dak is playing at an MVP level. People thought that last week’s primetime matchup against the Eagles was a statement win, but really a big win here would show who’s the real playoff contender.

Pick: DAL -4.5 (-110)

Game: Indianapolis Colts @ Miami Dolphins (currently at O/U 42.5)

TREND: MIA-IND is an under machine

  • UNDER 4-1 (80%) over the last 5 matchups
 

Both of these teams have been underwhelming so far this season with a huge matchup in the works Sunday. Carson Wentz has looked like he did in 2020 and Tua is currently injured. Is anybody surprised? The defenses have been solid besides a torching to Miami by Josh Allen. This is set up to be a grit-and-grind game that’s heavy on the run and probably not too fun to watch for the average viewer. But here at PSO, we tune into every game to give the most accurate information possible. 

Pick: Under 42.5 (-110)

 

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