By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Oct 09, 2021

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful and profit from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make and watch the money pile up thanks to educated decisions. This game is highlighted by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs taking on Josh Allen and the Bills but that game could go a lot of different ways with other games this week having much more intriguing trends.

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Here are some interesting money trends that showcase some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for NFL Week 5.

Game: Denver Broncos @ Pittsburgh Steelers (currently at O/U 39.5)

TREND: Denver on the road 

  • Under: 5-1 (83%) over the last 6 games on the road
 

Pittsburgh’s offense is a complete disaster this year, and it can mostly be contributed to Ben Roethlisberger‘s regression. Playing in Pitt is always a tough task and with the Steelers being 1-3, Mike Tomlin will have his defense ready to put themselves in a situation to win. A grit and grind game will likely keep the score close, but ultimately under the posted total.

Pick: Under 39.5 (-110)

Game: New Orleans Saints @ Washington Football Team (currently at NO -2.5)
 

TREND: New Orleans last 15 games ATS 

  • ATS: 10-4-1 (71%) over the last 15 weeks
 

Washington’s defense hasn’t lived up to expectations this year (29th in YPG). New Orleans repping the second best run defense in the league will truly put Taylor Heinicke to the test. Expect Sean Payton to put his offense in positions to expose one of the worst secondaries in the league.  

Pick: NO -2.5 (-110)

Game: Miami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (currently at TB -10)

TREND: Tampa Bay last 11 weeks on Sunday 

  • ATS: 8-3 (73%) over the last 11 games played on Sunday
 

This pick is more about how bad Miami is, even though Tampa Bay is a legit Super Bowl contender. Jacoby Brissett has been decent since coming in for the injured Tua, but it simply just isn’t enough to keep up with Tom Brady and the Bucs elite offense. Averaging 173 YPG, Miami will need to play lights out on defense for this not to be a blow out. When you’re already allowing more than 250 passing YPG, it won’t get any easier when you go play the GOAT at home. 

Pick: TB -10 (-110)

Game: Green Bay Packers @ Cincinnati Bengals (currently at GB -3)

TREND: Green Bay ATS in the last 8 weeks

  • ATS: 6-2 (75%) over the last 8 weeks
 

Aaron Rodgers and Co. are on fire as of late, winning three straight after an embarrassing Week 1 loss. Joe Burrow has taken this Bengals team to new heights, starting the year 3-1 which is why this line is so close. One major thing to note: those four teams that played Cincinnati have a combined four wins this whole season. Four. Green Bay is a different beast that seems poised to put them back in their place. 

Pick: GB -2.5 (-120)

Game: Cleveland Browns @ Los Angeles Chargers (currently at LAC -2)

TREND: Chargers ATS in the last 8 weeks

  • ATS: 7-1 (88%) over the last 8 weeks
 

Cleveland comes into this game with their 3rd string left tackle and an abundance of other injuries, including a banged up Baker Mayfield. On the other hand, Brandon Staley has this Chargers team playing elite on both sides of the field. The defense is continuing to hound teams week in and week out, and Justin Herbert is quickly becoming a household name in the NFL. 

Cleveland has impressed this year, but against weak competition and now with such a big injury report, expect Staley to slow down what could be a one-dimensional offense without Jarvis Landry. Justin Herbert should expose a below average secondary who is missing their 1st round rookie corner. This game will say a lot about who is a contender and who is a pretender in the AFC.

Pick: LAC -2 (-110)



 

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