By Michael Grammenos, PSO Sports Research Analyst
Jan 16, 2021

Now that sports wagering has become legal and significantly more popular, many people enjoy getting more invested into the games. The best way to be successful making money from sports wagering is by having the right information available to understand the best bets to make. Here are some interesting money trends that showcases some tendencies that have occurred recently and could reveal a valuable investment for the NFL Divisional Round.  

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Game: TB@NO (currently at OU 51.5)

TREND: Bucs Overs on the road

  • OU: 5-1 (83%) in their last 6 road games
 
Tom Brady vs. Drew Brees. Two of the oldest quarterbacks in the league, as well as two of the best to ever do it. Nothing says divisional round playoffs like a true divisional battle. Both of these teams are red hot as of late, combining for a total of 72 PPG over the last four weeks. Tampa Bay put up a whopping three points in the last matchup and have a lot to prove going into New Orleans. 
 
As far as the Saints go, there’s nothing like playing at Mercedes Benz Stadium at home in a primetime Sunday Night game. Of course there’s also the fact that New Orleans is averaging 36 PPG vs. Tampa Bay this year and dominated their first two matchups. Throw in the fact that this is the only domed game of the week, and the signs of an over taking place is plentiful. This is the perfect game to sit back, relax, and watch the fireworks.
 

Pick: Over 51.5

Game: LAR@GB (currently at GB -7)

TREND: Rams as a road underdog

  • ATS: 7-2 (78%) in their last 9 games as a road underdog
 

Whenever the Rams are seen as underdogs in a road game, they tend to exceed expectations. Betting against Rodgers at Lambeau is a tough spot, but seven points is just too much against a well-coached and experienced Los Angeles Rams team, especially after what they did to Russell Wilson and the Seahawks last week. Green Bay is just 2-2 against teams with a top-10 defense this year. With the Rams defense ranking first in the league and a rushing attack producing among the best in the business, Sean McVay will draw up a game plan to keep 12 off the field and his team in this game even if they aren’t able to walk away with the win.

Pick: LAR +7

Game: CLE@KC (currently at KC -9.5)

TREND: Browns after covering   

  • ATS: 0-4 (0%) in their last 4 games following an ATS win
 

Cleveland already won it’s Super Bowl this season and got handed a lot of gifts from Ben Roethlisberger a little after Christmas. Patrick Mahomes and that KC Chiefs offense is a completely different animal compared to what the 22nd ranked Browns defense has played this season though. The Chiefs are -9.5 favorites against the Browns and while CLE will look to keep Mahomes off the field, they just don’t have the defense to consistently stop Andy Reid’s offense. Clyde-Edwards Helaire will make his return and make them as unstoppable as ever. Patrick Mahomes is 4-1 in the postseason with his only loss coming in a wild OT thriller to Tom Brady.

Pick: KC -9.5

Game: BAL@BUF (currently at BUF -3)

TREND: Ravens under HC John Harbaugh in road playoff games

  • ATS: 10-3 (77%) in his last 13 games on the road in the playoffs
 

John Harbaugh knows how to win, but more importantly he knows how to keep his team in these types of games and cover the spread when traveling to another team’s stadium. Buffalo has a middle-of-the-pack run defense and will be getting a heavy dose of that this weekend. Justin Tucker should be a key factor in this game down the stretch, which provides a lot of value by taking the three points in a game that might not be as high scoring as people may think. 

Pick: BAL +3

 

 

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