By Matthew DelDonna, PSO Director of Football Development
Dec 30, 2020

As the 2020 NFL regular season continued to wind down on Sunday, playoff positioning shifted significantly once again. Alvin Kamara had the game of his life on Christmas Day, Miami stunned the Raiders with less than a minute to play to eliminate Vegas from the playoffs on Saturday, and the Steelers completed an epic comeback against the Colts on Sunday. Seattle won the NFC West after a victory over the Rams, Jacksonville clinched the first pick in next year’s draft after the Jets upset another playoff team, and Green Bay made a statement to the rest of the NFL by crushing the Titans on Sunday Night Football.

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KEY FACT: Pittsburgh Steelers have the most wins (4) with under 50 RUSH YDS in a game within a season in the Super Bowl era

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Diontae’s diving TD ignited the comeback

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: A Rivers vs. Roethlisberger rematch in the playoffs would only be right

Two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks gave fans a classic showdown on Sunday when the Steelers overcame a 17-pt second half deficit and end their three-game skid with a 28-24 win. PIT clinched the AFC North with the win, meaning they’ll receive a home playoff game in the wild card round against a non-division winner. Indy could potentially make the playoffs without winning their division, which would mean a rematch between Rivers and Big Ben is highly possible and what the fans deserve after this great game. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @PIT (-104) d. IND (-10628-24 [PIT +1.0 | o43.5]

PIT STOCK PRICE$13.90 | IND STOCK PRICE$13.65

KEY FACTTravis Kelce has the most REC YDS (1,416) by a TE during a single season in NFL history

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Mahomes hit Robinson to put KC up for good

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: KC isn’t as close to perfect as its record

As of late, the Chiefs’ offense hasn’t quite been in the same groove as it usually is. They’ve broken the NFL record with seven straight wins by six points or under and tied the record for the most comeback wins in a single season (10). Patrick Mahomes is still in the MVP conversation but he certainly hasn’t played to the level fans are accustomed to. Having thrown four interceptions and fumbling three times in the last three games, Mahomes has been fortunate enough to come out on top each time. 

While KC has shown it can win without a lights-out performance from Mahomes, the biggest concern is that it happened against the 4-11 Falcons on Sunday. With the defense being far from a total shutout unit and Edwards-Helaire out with an injury, it makes the Chiefs more one-dimensional and gives opposing defenses a better chance knowing KC has a heavier reliance on Mahomes. They deserve the right to be considered the best team in the league, but they’ve proven to be vulnerable at multiple points during this season and far from a lock to repeat as Super Bowl champions. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @KC (-506) d. ATL (+40817-14 [ATL +11.0 | u54]

KC STOCK PRICE$12.96 | ATL STOCK PRICE$5.31

KEY FACT: NYJ are the 1st team to win multiple GP vs. teams in a season that entered with 9+ more wins than them in NFL history

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Jets do the unthinkable and win 2 in a row

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: Lawrence landing in Long Island was only a fantasy

Normally fans of a winless team headed into the final weeks of the season would be elated if said team finally managed to win a couple of games towards the end of the year to avoid the infamous 0-16 record. That isn’t the case for Jets fans however as NY’s second win in a row paired with JAX’s loss on Sunday officially erased any chance of receiving the first overall pick to select generational talent Trevor Lawrence in next year’s draft. 

While there are plenty of other solid QBs for NY to choose from, none of them have the same upside as a National Champion who’s only lost a single game in his college career and would have brought a winning pedigree the Jets aren’t accustomed to. With a house cleaning likely coming within the next few weeks or so, it will be interesting to see what the new front office regime will do in April. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @NYJ (+260) d. CLE (-30223-16 [NYJ +6.5 | u45]

NYJ STOCK PRICE$3.14 | CLE STOCK PRICE$13.14

KEY FACT: Deshaun Watson reached 100 PASS TD in the 5th-fewest career GP (53) by any QB since 1950

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Perine rumbled, bumbled and stumbled his way to the end zone

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: Miami has all the makings of a title contender in the 2020s

This Texans-Bengals game didn’t have any playoff implications but had major NFL draft ripple effects. HOU is now in line for a top-5 pick which will go right to Miami from their Laremy Tunsil trade last year. While Houston has fallen off, the Miami Dolphins are already ahead of schedule in terms of their rebuild. HC Brian Flores has masterfully led his team to 10 wins and is on the brink of clinching a playoff berth in a season where many expected the Dolphins to be below average to average. 

On top of that, this top 5 pick via Houston in next year’s draft will help lock up another big piece to their puzzle, making the ‘Fins one of the main teams to watch out for during the years ahead. If they play their cards right, the AFC East will finally be one of the more entertaining divisions in football to watch every year.

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): CIN (+276) d. @HOU (-32437-31 [CIN +7.5 | o46]

CIN STOCK PRICE$7.10 | HOU STOCK PRICE$5.41

KEY FACT: Baltimore Ravens have 100+ RUSH YDS in 38 straight GP, the 2nd longest streak in the NFL since at least 1948

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • It’s hard to stop Lamar when he scrambles

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: The Ravens have all of a sudden become the hottest team in the AFC

Few teams have been through the wringer in terms of battling COVID-19 this year quite like the Baltimore Ravens. After having several of their games rescheduled and players missing time due to positive tests, BAL looked as good as done for and were sitting on the outside looking in. Now riding a four-game winning streak, the Ravens are finally looking like the team most expected them to be and are right in the playoff conversation. Should they be fortunate enough to make it to the postseason, opponents are going to have problems trying to stop this team 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @BAL (-399) d. NYG (+33227-13 [BAL -10.0 | u43]

BAL STOCK PRICE$10.25 | NYG STOCK PRICE$9.22

KEY FACT: CHI has scored 30+ PTS in 4 straight GP for the 1st time since 1965, led by HOFers George Halas & Gale Sayers

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Trubisky and Graham were in perfect sync

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: This was the best loss in Jacksonville Jaguars history

In an unexpected turn of events, the Jacksonville Jaguars have officially won the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes. With Sunday’s loss and the Jets’ victory, the Jags are now on the clock after locking up the No. 1 overall selection in next year’s draft and are primed to pick their future leader. Additionally, JAX is now one of the top landing spots for new coaching hires with a premium draft selection and the likelihood they’ll be searching for a new regime to take over. All in all, the Jaguars did more for themselves in the long run by dropping to 1-14 despite the 24-point shellacking that occurred on Sunday.

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): CHI (-452) d. @JAX (+37041-17 [CHI -9.5 | o47]

CHI STOCK PRICE$10.48 | JAX STOCK PRICE$2.15

KEY FACT: Justin Herbert has the most PASS TD (28) by a rookie in NFL history

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Herbert made history on Sunday

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: This is just the beginning for Herbert’s name in the record books

Justin Herbert furthered his case for offensive rookie of the year on Sunday when he broke the NFL record for most passing touchdowns by a rookie. With his accuracy on the deep ball combined with mobility and an elite WR in Keenan Allen, Herbert could become a MVP-caliber QB sooner than most thought as he continues to learn the offense and gel with his teammates, especially considering it’s likely a new offensive-minded Head Coach will be taking over next year. Whether the Chargers’ front office will be able to find him any extra help is yet to be seen, but his future is as promising as any QB under 25 years old.

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @LAC (-125) d. DEN (+11319-16 [LAC -2.5 | u47.5]

LAC STOCK PRICE$7.62 | DEN STOCK PRICE$7.89

KEY FACT: DJ Moore & Robby Anderson are the only WR duo with 1,000+ REC YDS each in 2020 season

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Samuel would not go down easy

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: Dwayne Haskins is a certified bust and his future outlook is as bleak as ever

In what was an ugly loss on Sunday, the Washington Football Team looked completely different than the team that beat the Steelers and Cowboys a few weeks ago. Chase Young still made the plays he’s been making all season, but the offense was flat with Dwayne Haskins at QB. Terry McLaurin being out with an injury certainly didn’t help, and despite their offensive struggles, WAS is still in a good position to win its division. If Alex Smith and McLaurin can return next Sunday against the Eagles and win, the Football Team will clinch the NFC East and lock up a home playoff game in January no matter what happens in the Giants-Cowboys game. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): CAR (-112) d. @WAS (+10120-13 [CAR -1.0 | u41.5]

CAR STOCK PRICE$8.74 | WAS STOCK PRICE$10.68

KEY FACT: Cowboys & Eagles combined for the most combined YDS (990) in a single GP in the history of this matchup

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Welcome back, DJAX

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: The NFC East is coming down to Week 17 because of course it is

The Dallas Cowboys have had one of the most up-and-down seasons any team has gone through in 2020. From winning a wild game against the Falcons in which they seemed good as done, to Dak Prescott fracturing his ankle and being ruled out for the year, then being well on their way to possibly a top five pick in the 2021 draft, now the Cowboys are on a hot streak and somehow still have a chance at winning the division despite Dak’s absence and perhaps the worst defense in the league. They’ll need some help in addition to a win next week, but it has certainly been a roller coaster of emotions in Mike McCarthy’s first year as head coach. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @DAL (+149) d. PHI (-16637-17 [DAL +3.0 | o50]

DAL STOCK PRICE$6.86 | PHI STOCK PRICE$4.78

KEY FACT: Aaron Donald passed HOF Derrick Thomas (85), for the 3rd most SKs (85.5) in 1st 7 Career seasons in NFL history

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Moore used great concentration to make this catch

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: The Seahawks’ defense is transforming from a weakness to a strength

The legitimacy of Seattle’s defense has been questioned since the beginning of the year despite landing one of the top defensive backs in the league in Jamal Adams. The Seahawks made a statement on Sunday by holding fellow NFC West playoff competitor, the Rams, to just three field goals. While Jared Goff has looked mediocre for most of the season, he’s better than some of SEA’s other competition this year such as Wentz, Darnold, and Haskins. Seattle’s defense was holding them back from making a run in the playoffs this year, but now it could be what leads them to another Lombardi trophy. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @SEA (-128) d. LAR (+11620-6 [SEA -1.5 | u47.5]

SEA STOCK PRICE$12.21 | LAR STOCK PRICE$10.76

KEY FACT: Aaron Rodgers has the most career seasons (3) with 4,000+ PASS YDS & 40+ PASS TDS in the NFL since 1932

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Dillon stepped up big time in the run game

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: Brian Gutekunst is steadily becoming one of the top GMs in the NFL

Following the 2017 season, former Packers GM Ted Thompson stepped down and Brian Gutekunst took over his position. Fast forward to now, and Gutekunst has watched three players acquired during his tenure, two of which he drafted, make the Pro Bowl this season. Many people questioned him after he selected a QB and a RB in the first two rounds of the 2020 draft, but after A.J. Dillon’s big performance against the Titans on Sunday night, it appears Gutey knows exactly what he’s doing. If he keeps hitting the mark on draft picks and free agent signings, GB will have a lot to look forward to down the road, even after Rodgers’ inevitable departure. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @GB (-176) d. TEN (+15740-14 [GB -3.0 | o52.5]

GB STOCK PRICE$13.32 | TEN STOCK PRICE$12.51

KEY FACT: Ryan Fitzpatrick had the most 4th Qtr PASS YDS (182) in a win by a non-starting QB since 2005

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Fitzmagic struck once again

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAYBrian Flores is doing things no coach has done before

The Miami Dolphins have had a season like few others in the past. The saying goes “if you have two quarterbacks, you really have none” because going back and forth between quarterbacks almost always ends poorly. However, somehow HC Brian Flores has found a way to do it successfully by starting Tua and bringing in Fitzpatrick to relieve him multiple times this season when Miami’s rookie and future franchise QB has struggled. On the other side of the ball, Flores has been able to lead his defense and special teams to excellent seasons despite having average talent to work with outside of All-Pro CB Xavien Howard. 

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): MIA (-123) d. @LV (+11126-25 [LV +2.0 | o50.5]

MIA STOCK PRICE$20.56 | LV STOCK PRICE$9.94

KEY FACTMost seasons with 50+ REC in NFL history: T-1. Jerry Rice (17), T-1. Larry Fitzgerald (17)

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • The 49ers’ D came up clutch big time

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAYRobert Saleh will be one of the hottest coaching candidates this offseason

If last year wasn’t proof enough, surely this year should boost Robert Saleh’s candidacy for an NFL head coaching job even more. Overcoming a slew of injuries to his side of the ball, Saleh has still found a way to keep his team in games this year and put on a clinic against a Cardinals offense featuring Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. Saleh has been one of the biggest names mentioned in potential new head coaching hires and he will surely be made offers this offseason by teams in need of a fresh start and a defensive-minded leader. A team like the Falcons, Texans, or Jaguars that need a new defensive leader could look to hire the 49ers DC

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): SF (+215) d. @ARZ (-26020-12 [SF +6.0 | u49]

SF STOCK PRICE$6.13 ARZ STOCK PRICE$11.84

KEY FACT: Buccaneers set franchise records for PTS in 1 half (34), total YDS in 1 half (410) & total YDS in 1 GP (588)

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • The Brady to Gronk connection is timeless

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAYIt took a while, but the Bucs’ offense is finally clicking at the perfect time

In a year where several predicted the Buccaneers to light up the whole league, 2020 has been a year of ups and downs for Tampa Bay. At times they’ve looked like the team they were expected to be, and other weeks the hype around them suddenly seems phony. While it has taken a bit of time for them to gel with a whole new QB and some other moving parts, Tampa’s offense is starting to consistently play its best football entering the postseason where a Brady-led team is always dangerous and can never be counted out.

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): TB (-586) d. @DET (+45247-7 [TB -12.0 | u55]

TB STOCK PRICE$14.33 | DET STOCK PRICE$8.34

KEY FACT: Alvin Kamara scored the most RUSH TD in a game (6) since 1930

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Kamara had a performance for the ages 

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAYAlvin Kamara is most valuable non-QB in the NFL this season

Very few players have been as important to their teams’ success as Alvin Kamara this year. Despite having Drew Brees and Michael Thomas on the field together for only one and a half games this year, the Saints have still managed an 11-4 record and a division crown because Kamara stepped up big time in both the running and passing attack. The stats don’t lie as he now holds the record for the most TDScm in a season by a Saints player in franchise history with 21 TOTAL TD (16 RUSH TD + 5 REC TD). If teams want any chance at stopping the Saints, they’ll have to contain Kamara at all costs or simply try to outscore them.

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): @NO (-306) d. MIN (+26252-33 [NO -6.5 | o48.5]

NO STOCK PRICE$11.22 | MIN STOCK PRICE$7.29

KEY FACT: Josh Allen has the most PASS TD (34) in a single-season in Buffalo Bills franchise history

BEST HIGHLIGHT:

  • Allen and Diggs put an exclamation point on their major seasons

FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS

MAIN TAKEAWAY: Josh Allen has solidified his spot in the top 5 QB conversation

Very little has deterred Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills from succeeding this year. Now sitting at 12-3 and in position for the AFC’s second seed, Bills Mafia owes a big thank you to Allen as well as his No. 1 target Stefon Diggs. It seems that whenever BUF is inside the 30 yard line, their QB is almost guaranteed to throw a dart to one of his receivers for a score. This incredible talent throwing the ball as well as his consistency and efficiency have placed Allen in the discussion of top 5 QB in the NFL and into the MVP discussion sooner than later. Currently ranked top 10 in PASS YDS, TDs and QBR, he certainly has earned the honor.

FINAL RESULTS (ODDS): BUF (-313) d. @NE (+26838-9 [BUF -7.0 | u47.5]

BUF STOCK PRICE$15.93 | NE STOCK PRICE$6.46

 

 

 

 

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